Now with the
'turning the corner' spiel about the cancer deaths dropping this year (they've been declining per capita for quite some time),
some are thinking the NIH budget should be cut (the blogfather quotes a reader, not clear if he shares the reader's views). Here is what I wrote to the instapundit.
Hi Glenn,
I just wanted to point out that the NIH funding cut is real, and alarming. Consider: a) The number of scientists in the US has gone up substantially (mostly scientists from other countries). b) The amount of real funding has stayed the same since the doubling of the budget and c) the expense of science has gone way up. At ASCB this year, the NIH director Dr. Zerhouni said c) was the greatest threat. Real life example: my PI had his R01 reduced in funding even before he got it, and they are removing money from it every year. Further, the cost of research continues to climb. We just spend 400k on a mass spectrometer, and 30k on a nuclear poration machine. Director Zerhouni estimated that the cost of science has gone up 70% in the last decade (i may not be quoting this number accurately, its from memory).
Here are some numbers from Orac (see link below). The number of new grant submissions from 1999 to 2005 has gone up 18%, while the success rate has dropped in half, from almost 20% to 9.1%. That's real, and that's a cut for the real research. Much of the new funds being spent at the NIH are for either big projects (ie the cancer genome) or for homeland security. I think the NIH is doing what they can to support science, but they don't get that the pivital mechanism, the R01, is dangerously underfunded. The worst thing is for the public to think that science is actually well funded, where this is far from the truth (the total NIH budget for 2006 was only 26 billion, and the US has the best funded research in the world)
(budget here). This is chump change for saving thousands or hundreds of thousands of lives every year.
Orac has some numbers here:
http://scienceblogs.com/insolence/2006/09/nih_funding.php
My blog chain on the subject is here:
http://gibbie.powerblogs.com/posts/1158798979.shtml